Publications

2026

Publications by CLIFF

The human right to a safe climate

Sebastian Villasante, Lynne Shannon, Sandra Waddock, Lucas A. Garibaldi, Nathan J. Bennett, Joyeeta Gupta, David Obura, Albert V. Norström, Karen O’Brien, Unai Pascual & Arun Agrawal

Nature Sustainability

The advisory opinions by the Inter-American Court of Human Rights (IACtHR) and the International Court of Justice (ICJ) in 2025 mark a turning point…

Publications related to CLIFF

Water justice: evolving perspectives and dilemmas

Hilmer J. Bosch, Joyeeta Gupta, Luc van Vliet, Andrea B. Müller

International Journal of Water Resources Development

This review paper asks: What does the water justice literature reveal about the core elements of water justice in terms of content and at different…

2025

Publications by CLIFF

Orchestrating the narrative: The role of fossil fuel companies in delaying the energy transition

Giulia Gentile, Joyeeta Gupta

Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews

The scientific community has long identified the urgent need to phase out fossil fuels. Yet, fossil fuel companies have managed to avoid accountability…

Science-policy: UNFCCC policymakers’ perspective of scientific scenarios and their policy relevance

Jiesper Tristan Strandsbjerg Pedersen, Carla Gomes, Patrick O’Rourke, Detlef van Vuuren, Joyeeta Gupta, Filipe Duarte Santos & Rob Swart

NPJ Climate Action

Scenarios play a pivotal role in linking climate science to policy action, informing the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change…

Just Energy Transition Partnerships: An inclusive climate finance approach?

Aljoscha Karg, Joyeeta Gupta,
Yang Chen

Energy Research & Social Science

The Just Energy Transition Partnerships (JETPs) – between G-7+ countries and South Africa (2021), Indonesia (2022), Viet Nam (2022), and Senegal…

Neo-colonialism and leaving fossil fuels underground: a discourse analysis of the potential German-Senegalese gas partnership

Luc van Vliet, Janina Herzog-Hawelka, Clara McDonnell

Energy Research & Social Science

This paper explores the contested discourses surrounding a potential gas partnership between Germany and Senegal, highlighting the…

Climate Injustices Have Multiplied over Time: The Need for Climate System Justice

Joyeeta Gupta, Yang Chen, Clara McDonnell, Augusto Heras, Janina Herzog-Hawelka, Frank de Morrée, Opal Morales Asencio

Progress in Development Studies

This article asks: How have climate injustices accumulated in climate negotiations, and how can a climate system justice approach be developed? It concludes that, first, without a just approach…

Reconciling the right to develop with leaving fossil fuels underground in the Global South

Augusto Heras, Crelis F. Rammelt, Joyeeta Gupta

Environmental Science & Policy

To address climate change, supply-side action and policy are urgently needed for leaving fossil fuels underground. Low- and Middle-Income…

Data injustice and attribution of drought events: implications for global climate policy

Paola Fezzigna, Marthe Wens, Joyeeta Gupta, Paolo Scussolini

Climate Policy

Extreme event attribution (EEA) studies address the question of the role of anthropogenic climate change in the occurrence of extreme weather…

North-south relations, responsibilities, and agendas in Earth System Governance: Have these changed in the Anthropocene?

Augusto Heras, Joyeeta Gupta

Earth System Governance

On the G77’s 60th anniversary and the 50th anniversary of the Declaration for a New International Economic Order, this paper explores…

Thresholds of significant harm at global level: The journey of the Earth Commission

Joyeeta Gupta, Jesse F. Abrams, David Armstrong McKay, Xuemei Bai, Kristi L. Ebi, Paola Fezzigna, Giuliana Gentile, Lauren Gifford, Syezlin Hasan, Lisa Jacobson, Aljoscha Karg*, Steven Lade, Tim Lenton, Diana Liverman, Awaz Mohamed, Nebojsa Nakicenovic, David Obura, Johan Rockström, Ben Stewart-Koster, Detlef van VuurenPeter Verburg, Raimon C. Ylla-Català, Caroline Zimm

Earth System Governance

The planetary boundary framework proposes ‘safe’ boundaries, but these boundaries are not necessarily ‘just’. Hence, we ask: How has the…

Publications related to CLIFF

Water security reframed using Water System Justice and Earth system boundaries, foundations, and corridor

Joyeeta Gupta, Hilmer J. Bosch, Luc van Vliet

Frontiers in Water

In the Anthropocene, when human activity, including the overuse and over-pollution of water, is leading to the destabilization of the global…

Connecting planetary boundaries and planetary health: a resilient and stable Earth system is crucial for human health

Samuel S. Myers, Oskar Masztalerz, Samantha Ahdoot, Sabine Gabrysch, Joyeeta Gupta, Andy Haines, Henrika Kleineberg-Massuthe, Nathalie J. Lambrecht, Philip J. Landrigan, Jemilah Mahmood, Lisa M. Pörtner, Jason Rohr, Claudia Traidl-Hoffmann, Amanda S. Wendt, Britt Wray, Johan Rockström

The Lancet

Earth system scientists developed the planetary boundaries framework for measuring and tracking the stability and resilience of the Earth system…

Charting a transformational course toward a safe and just future: the Earth Commission’s contribution

Johan Rockström, Fatima Denton, Albert V. Norstrom, Jesse F Abrams, Lubna Alam, David I. Armstrong McKay, Xuemei Bai, Govindasamy Bala, Chris A. Boulton, Wendy Broadgate, Stuart Bunn, Joshua E Buxton, Juan Cardenas, Raimon C. Ylla-Català, Fabrice Declerck, Natalie Davis, Donovan Dennis, Miriam L. Diamond, Carl Folke, Charlotte Kendra Gotangco Gonzales, Georgia Graells, Joyeeta Gupta, Syezlin Hasan, Lisa Jacobson, Steven J. Lade, Timothy M. Lenton, Sina Loriani, Cornelia Ludwig, Pablo A Marquet, Qondi Moyo, Aditi Mukherji, Nebjosa Nakicenovic, David Obura, Oki Taikan, Daniel Ospina, Maria Fernanda Peña, Laura Pereira, Keywan Riahi, Maria del Mar Rojas, Anindita Sarkar, Anna Shalin, Ben Stewart-Koster, Bo Su, Rashid Sumaila, Tharammal Thejna, Luc van Vliet, Detlef vanVuuren, Peter H. Verburg, Zhanyun Wang, Ricarda Winkelmann, Cunde Xiao, Caroline Zimm

Earth’s Future

Humans are now operating well outside the planetary conditions that enabled stable and equitable development. The situation is urgent…

Conceptualizing Water System Justice in the Anthropocene

Joyeeta Gupta, Hilmer J. Bosch, Andrea B. Müller, Luc van Vliet

WIREs Water

Given the growing demand for water justice, the systemic nature of the water problem, the fragmented water governance and disparate…

Prioritising the purpose: a Water System Justice framework for water utilities

Klaas Schwartz; Joyeeta Gupta; Mariana Mazzucato; Hilmer J. Bosch; Luc William van Vliet

Water Policy

Water utilities provide water, sewerage and sanitation services. Yet, they have failed worldwide to provide safely managed water services to at…

2024

Publications by CLIFF

Supply-side climate policy and fossil fuels in developing countries: a neo-Gramscian perspective

Augusto Heras

International Environmental Agreements: Politics, Law and Economics

This article examines the perspectives of low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) on climate change mitigation and fossil fuel supply within…

Applying earth system justice to phase out fossil fuels: learning from the injustice of adopting 1.5 °C over 1 °C

Joyeeta Gupta, Yang Chen, David I. Armstrong Mckay, Paola Fezzigna, Giuliana Gentile, Aljoscha Karg, Luc van Vliet, Steven J. Lade & Lisa Jacobson

International Environmental Agreements: Politics, Law and Economics

The Paris Agreement has seen the adoption of a 1.5° to 2 °C climate target, based on the belief that climate change becomes ‘dangerous’ above…

Pension funds and fossil fuel phase-out: historical developments and limitations of pension climate strategies

Clara McDonnell

International Environmental Agreements: Politics, Law and Economics

Despite the decades of international climate negotiations and several landmark agreements, global efforts to date to restrict fossil fuel…

The split ladder of participation: A literature review and dynamic path forward

Margot Hurlbert, Joyeeta Gupta

Environmental Science & Policy

Participation of people in decision making and tackling complex problems where there is lack of consensus on the science and relevant values…

Transport within earth system boundaries

Joyeeta Gupta, Yang Chen, Crelis Rammelt

NPJ Sustainable Mobility and Transport

Achieving a socially and environmentally sustainable mobility and transport system necessitates a multifaceted approach that…

The split ladder of policy problems, participation, and politicization: constitutional water change in Ecuador and Chile

Margot Hurlbert, Joyeeta Gupta

International Environmental Agreements: Politics, Law and Economics

There is debate about whether complex problems should be addressed technocratically or whether they should be politicized. While many tend…

A just world on a safe planet: Earth-system boundaries, translations, and transformations

Joyeeta Gupta, Xuemei Bai, Diana M. Liverman, Johan Rockström, Dahe Qin, Ben Stewart-Koster, Juan C. Rocha, Lisa Jacobson, Jesse F. Abrams, Lauren S. Andersen, David I. Armstrong McKay, Govindasamy Bala, Stuart E. Bunn, Daniel Ciobanu, Fabrice DeClerck, Kristie L. Ebi, Lauren Gifford, Christopher Gordon, Syezlin Hasan, Norichika Kanie, Giulia Gentile

The Lancet Planetary Health

The health of the planet and its people are at risk. The deterioration of the global commons—ie, the natural systems that support life on Earth…

Earth system boundaries and Earth system justice: sharing the ecospace

Joyeeta Gupta, Klaudia Prodani, Xuemei Bai, Lauren Gifford, Tim M. Lenton, Ilona Otto, Laura Pereira, Crelis Rammelt, Joeri Scholtens, Joan David Tàbara

Environmental Politics

The literature on planetary and Earth system boundaries calls on humans to live within those boundaries. Sharing such limited ecospace raises…

Fossil fuels, stranded assets, and the energy transition in the Global South: A systematic literature review

Augusto Heras, Joyeeta Gupta

WIREs Climate Change

Complying with the Paris Agreement on Climate Change requires leaving fossil fuels underground (LFFU), which raises justice issues regarding the…

Leaving Fossil Fuels Underground: Actors, Arguments and Approaches in the Global South and Global North

Joyeeta Gupta, Barbara Hogenboom, Arthur Rempel, Malin Olofsson

How can the world move away from a century-old global system based on fossil fuels? And how can societies in the Global South and Global North…

Publications related to CLIFF

The planetary commons: A new paradigm for safeguarding Earth-regulating systems in the Anthropocene

Johan Rockström, Louis Kotzé, Svetlana Milutinović, Frank Biermann, Victor Brovkin, Jonathan Donges, Jonas Ebbesson, Duncan French, Joyeeta Gupta, Rakhyun Kim, Timothy Lenton, Dominic Lenzi, Nebojsa Nakicenovic, Barbara Neumann, Fabian Schuppert, Ricarda Winkelmann, Klaus Bosselmann, Carl Folke, Wolfgang Lucht, David Schlosberg, Katherine Richardson, Will Steffen

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America

The Anthropocene signifies the start of a no-analogue trajectory of the Earth system that is fundamentally different from the Holocene. This…

Translating Earth system boundaries for cities and businesses

Xuemei Bai, Syezlin Hasan, Lauren Seaby Andersen, Anders Bjørn, Şiir Kilkiş, Daniel Ospina, Jianguo Liu, Sarah E. Cornell, Oscar Sabag Muñoz, Ariane de Bremond, Beatrice Crona, Fabrice DeClerck, Joyeeta Gupta, Holger Hoff, Nebojsa Nakicenovic, David Obura, Gail Whiteman, Wendy Broadgate, Steven J. Lade, Juan Rocha, Johan Rockström, Ben Stewart-Koster, Detlef van Vuuren, Caroline Zimm

Nature Sustainability

Operating within safe and just Earth system boundaries requires mobilizing key actors across scale to set targets and take actions accordingly…

Governing for a safe and just future with science-based targets: opportunities and limitations

Lauren Gifford, Diana Liverman, Joyeeta Gupta, Lisa Jacobson

Climate and Development

This paper reflects on the work of the Earth Commission and the Global Commons Alliance to include climate and environmental justice in…

Reply to: Concerns regarding proposed groundwater Earth system boundary

S. E. Bunn, B. Stewart-Koster, C. Ndehedehe, C. Gordon, J. Rockström, J. Gupta, D. Qin & S. J. Lade

Nature

Groundwater is widely used for domestic and agricultural purposes, but is subject to increasing risks from overexploitation. Responding to this…

2023

Publications by CLIFF

Beyond divest vs. engage: a review of the role of institutional investors in an inclusive fossil fuel phase-out

Clara McDonnell

Climate Policy

Institutional investors, who control as much as $154 trillion globally, may play an important role in shaping the energy transition as major…

Inclusive development, leaving no one behind, justice and the sustainable development goals

Joyeeta Gupta, Courtney Vegelin

International Environmental Agreements: Politics, Law and Economics

The focus on inclusive development within the 2030 Agenda highlights the contradiction between an inherent ‘business-as-usual’ approach subject…

The role of (multi)national oil and gas companies in leaving fossil fuels underground: A systematic literature review

Janina Herzog-Hawelka, Joyeeta Gupta

Energy Research & Social Science

(Multi)national oil and gas (O&G) companies need to drastically change their business activities to reduce their greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions…

Safe and just Earth system boundaries

Johan Rockström, Joyeeta Gupta, Dahe Qin, Steven J. Lade, Jesse F. Abrams, Lauren S. Andersen, David I. Armstrong McKay, Xuemei Bai, Govindasamy Bala, Stuart E. Bunn, Daniel Ciobanu, Fabrice DeClerck, Kristie Ebi, Lauren Gifford, Christopher Gordon, Syezlin Hasan, Norichika Kanie, Timothy M. Lenton, Sina Loriani, Diana M. Liverman, Awaz Mohamed, Nebojsa Nakicenovic, David Obura, Daniel Ospina, Klaudia Prodani, Crelis Rammelt, Boris Sakschewski, Joeri Scholtens, Ben Stewart-Koster, Thejna Tharammal, Detlef van Vuuren, Peter H. Verburg, Ricarda Winkelmann, Caroline Zimm, Elena M. Bennett, Stefan Bringezu, Wendy Broadgate, Pamela A. Green, Lei Huang, Lisa Jacobson, Christopher Ndehedehe, Simona Pedde, Juan Rocha, Marten Scheffer, Lena Schulte-Uebbing, Wim de Vries, Cunde Xiao, Chi Xu, Xinwu Xu, Noelia Zafra-Calvo, Xin Zhang

The stability and resilience of the Earth system and human well-being are inseparably linked, yet their interdependencies are generally…

Earth system justice needed to identify and live within Earth system boundaries

Joyeeta Gupta, Diana Liverman, Klaudia Prodani, Paulina Aldunce, Xuemei Bai, Wendy Broadgate, Daniel Ciobanu, Lauren Gifford, Chris Gordon, Margot Hurlbert, Cristina Y. A. Inoue, Lisa Jacobson, Norichika Kanie, Steven J. Lade, Timothy M. Lenton, David Obura, Chukwumerije Okereke, Ilona M. Otto, Laura Pereira, Johan Rockström, Joeri Scholtens, Juan Rocha, Ben Stewart-Koster, J. David Tàbara, Crelis Rammelt, Peter H. Verburg

Nature Sustainability

Living within planetary limits requires attention to justice as biophysical boundaries are not inherently just. Through collaboration between natural and…

Publications related to CLIFF

Achieving a nature- and people-positive future

David O. Obura, Fabrice DeClerck, Peter H. Verburg, Joyeeta Gupta, Jesse F. Abrams, Xuemei Bai, Stuart Bunn, Kristie L. Ebi, Lauren Gifford, Chris Gordon, Lisa Jacobson, Timothy M. Lenton, Diana Liverman, Awaz Mohamed, Klaudia Prodani, Juan Carlos Rocha, Johan Rockström, Boris Sakschewski, Ben Stewart-Koster, Detlef van Vuuren, Ricarda Winkelmann, Caroline Zimm

One Earth

Despite decades of increasing investment in conservation, we have not succeeded in “bending the curve” of biodiversity decline. Efforts to meet…

Why ideas of ‘planetary boundaries’ must uphold environmental justice

International Environmental Agreements: Politics, Law and Economics

Earth-system boundaries define a safe operating space for humanity. Accounting for the planet’s most vulnerable people provides a stark warning…

Nationally determined contributions-enhanced climate mitigation actions and safeguards (ECMAS) indicator framework for helping countries design sustainable and inclusive net-zero emissions reduction outcomes

Julius G. Muchemi, Joyeeta Gupta, Michael K. McCall, Karin Pfeffer

Carbon Footprints

Global warming is unequivocal. The Paris Agreement requires that countries undertake a global stocktake beginning in 2023 at the 28th…

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We need to collectively redefine development: Q&A with Joyeeta Gupta

Joyeeta Gupta

One Earth

Dr. Joyeeta Gupta, professor at the University of Amsterdam and IHE-Delft Institute for Water Education, explores the relationship between the…

Outcomes from the First European Planetary Health Congress at ARTIS in Amsterdam

Remco Kort, Koen Arts, Josep M. Antó, Matty P. Berg, Gabrielle Cepella, Jennifer Cole, Amarylle van Doorn, Tomás van Gorp, Milo Grootjen, Joyeeta Gupta, Colin Hill, Eva van der Heide, Jef Huisman, Jopke Janmaat, Cristina O’Callaghan-Gordo, Juliette Mattijsen, Tulsi Modi, Evanne Nowak, Hans C. Ossebaard, Jessica den Outer, Bruno Pot, Frederike Praasterink, Marju Prass, Alexandre Robert, Michiel Roelse, Jaap Seidell, Hans Slabbekoorn, Wouter Spek, Ralf Klemens Stappen, Marleen Stikker, Jorieke van der Stelt, Marian Stuiver, Rembrandt Sutorius, Jip van Trommel, Martine Veenman, Christian Weij, Pim Martens

Challenges

The First European Planetary Health Congress, held from 5 to 7 July 2023 at ARTIS in Amsterdam, represented a significant milestone in the global…

On Behalf of My Delegation …

Joyeeta Gupta, Jennifer Allan

This document pays tribute to negotiators worldwide, but especially from the Global South, who have, under very complicated circumstances…

Shaping Africa’s Climate Action through Climate Litigation: An Impact Assessment

Jovan Ivan Mugga, Joyeeta Gupta, René Lefeber

Recht in Afrika

The academic literature scarcely covers court cases from the Global South on climate chan-
ge. Hence, this paper examines the impact of…

2022

Publications by CLIFF

Water property rights in investor-state contracts on extractive activities, affects water governance: An empirical assessment of 80 contracts in Africa and Asia

Hilmer J. Bosch, Joyeeta Gupta

Review of European, Comparative & International Environmental Law

In view of increasing globalization, the ongoing promotion of foreign direct investment and the lack of comparative literature on how water…

Lessons learnt from international environmental agreements for the Stockholm + 50 Conference: celebrating 20 Years of INEA

Joyeeta Gupta, Courtney Vegelin, Nicky Pouw

International Environmental Agreements: Politics, Law and Economics

International Environmental Agreements: Politics, Law and Economics (INEA) was born in 2001 after a gestation period of two years where we debated…

Equitable, effective, and feasible approaches for a prospective fossil fuel transition

Arthur Rempel, Joyeeta Gupta

WIREs Climate Change

Most fossil fuel resources must remain unused to comply with the Paris Agreement on Climate Change. Scholars and policymakers debate which…

Equity, justice and the SDGs: lessons learnt from two decades of INEA scholarship

Joyeeta Gupta, Aarti Gupta, Courtney Vegelin

International Environmental Agreements: Politics, Law and Economics

Environmental justice issues have been incrementally but consistently covered within this journal in the last two decades. This article…

Climate action or distraction? Exploring Investor Initiatives and Implications for Unextractable Fossil Fuels

Clara McDonnell, Arthur Rempel, Joyeeta Gupta

Energy Research & Social Science

Limiting global warming to 1.5 °C requires drastically reducing fossil fuel production and use. Institutional investors who invest in fossil fuels…

Publications Related to CLIFF

IPCC emission scenarios: How did critiques affect their quality and relevance 1990–2022?

Jiesper Tristan Standsbjerg Pedersen, Detlef van Vuuren, Joyeeta Gupta, Filipe Duarte Santos, Jae Edmonds, Rob Swart

Global Environmental Change

Long-term global emission scenarios enable the analysis of future climate change, impacts, and response strategies by providing insight into…

Symposium: Environmental Justice and law

Joyeeta Gupta

On the basis of my work in three projects (co-chairing UNEP’s Global Environment Outlook-6, co-chairing Future Earth’s Earth Commission, and…

Sustainable development, climate change and planetary justice: governance challenges

Joyeeta Gupta, Klaudia Prodani

Handbook on Governance and Development

The climate crisis is a development problem – it questions the way societies define development and their right to development given the…

Impacts of meeting minimum access on critical earth systems amidst the Great Inequality

Crelis F. Rammelt, Joyeeta Gupta, Diana Liverman, Joeri Scholtens, Daniel Ciobanu, Jesse F. Abrams, Xuemei Bai, Lauren Gifford, Christopher Gordon, Margot Hurlbert, Cristina Y. A. Inoue, Lisa Jacobson, Steven J. Lade, Timothy M. Lenton, David I. Armstrong McKay, Nebojsa Nakicenovic, Chukwumerije Okereke, Ilona M. Otto, Laura M. Pereira, Klaudia Prodani, Johan Rockström, Ben Stewart-Koster, Peter H. Verburg & Caroline Zimm

Nature Sustainability

The Sustainable Development Goals aim to improve access to resources and services, reduce environmental degradation, eradicate poverty…

The Contribution of Transpiration to Precipitation Over African Watersheds

S. A. Te Wierik, J. Keune, D. G. Miralles, J. Gupta, Y. A. Artzy-Randrup, L. Gimeno, R. Nieto, L. H. Cammeraat

Water Resources Research

The redistribution of biological (transpiration) and non-biological (interception loss, soil evaporation) fluxes of terrestrial evaporation via atmospheric…

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About

The CLIFF project was financed by the European Research Council (ERC) Advanced Grant under the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme.

 

Grant agreement: No. 101020082

Contact

+31 20 5254366

J.Gupta@uva.nl

Nieuwe Achtergracht 166, 1018 WS Amsterdam

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